Thứ Tư, 10 tháng 11, 2010

China's consumer prices rise 4.4 percent in October

China's consumer prices rise 4.4 percent in October
China's consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in more than two years, the government said Thursday, following warnings that inflation would likely exceed Beijing's three percent target for 2010.
People shop in a popular market in Beijing on November 3, 2010. China said Thursday that retail sales, the main gauge of consumer spending in the world's second-largest economy, rose 18.6 percent in October compared with the same month a year ago.
The nation's consumer price index -- or CPI, a key measure of inflation -- rose 4.4 percent on year in October, compared with 3.6 percent in September, the National Bureau of Statistics said.

It was the fastest pace since September 2008 -- the start of the global financial crisis when consumer prices rose 4.6 percent.

The figure, which was higher than several analyst predictions, comes as Beijing battles to rein in consumer prices and soaring housing costs.

The CPI for the first 10 months of the year was up three percent, mainly driven higher by rising food prices and living costs, NBS spokesman Sheng Laiyun told a news conference.

"Price pressures are increasing. That means pressure on macroeconomic controls is increasing," Sheng said.

The October CPI reading marked a "very sharp increase" and persistent pressures on prices meant any dip in the coming months would be shallow and short-lived, said Brian Jackson, a senior strategist at Royal Bank of Canada.

"It's obviously eye-catching ... there are some reasons to think it might pull back in the next couple of months but I wouldn't want to bet the house on that," Jackson told AFP.

"More rate hikes are clearly on the way, and today's data also reinforces the case for faster currency appreciation," he added in a note.

The People's Bank of China last month raised its benchmark one-year lending and deposit rates by 25 basis points each -- the first interest rate hike in nearly three years.

Late Wednesday, the central bank tightened liquidity by ordering banks to set aside more reserves for a fourth time this year.

New lending in October fell slightly from the previous month to 587.7 billion yuan (88.6 billion dollars), the central bank said Thursday.

China's battle to keep prices in check comes amid worries that the US Federal Reserve's move to inject 600 billion dollars into the American economy could increase speculative "hot" money flows into China and fuel inflation.

"The new round of foreign quantitative easing policy will release enormous liquidity, which will have a rather significant impact on the Chinese economy," Sheng told reporters.

The Fed measures were expected to fan further inflation in China, he said, adding: "We will have to make greater efforts in order to reach the full-year inflation target."

The head of China's top economic planning agency, National Development and Reform Commission chief Zhang Ping, warned earlier this week that the full-year CPI would exceed the government's three percent target.

Other key data released by the statistics bureau showed the world's second-largest economy displayed signs of slowing last month.

Industrial output from China's factories rose 13.1 percent on year, but slower than September's 13.9 percent rise, as Beijing closed highly polluting operators and rationed power to energy-intensive industries.

Fixed asset investment in urban areas, a measure of government spending on infrastructure, rose 24.4 percent over the January-October period, slightly slower than the 24.8 percent in the first nine months of the year.

Retail sales, a key measure of consumer spending, rose 18.6 percent on-year.
dtinews

Obama seeks co-operation at G20


Barack Obama urges global co-operation to secure growth

Barack Obama arrives in SeoulPresident Obama could face a chilly reception at the Seoul meeting
The global financial system and world economy are set to dominate the agenda at a two-day meeting of the G20 group of nations in South Korea.
But there are fears the summit in Seoul could descend into a row between the US and China about so-called "currency wars" and trade imbalances.
Ahead of the meeting US President Barack Obama urged leaders to work together for global economic recovery.
He said the US would seek to create jobs and reduce global imbalances.
On a visit to a US base in Seoul before the main G20 meetings began, Mr Obama took the opportunity to urge North Korea to engage with the international community.
"North Korea's continued pursuit of nuclear weapons will only lead to more isolation and less security," he said. "But there is another path available to North Korea."
Domestic demand
Washington has blamed global economic imbalances in part on Beijing's alleged manipulation of its currency to help boost Chinese exports, which has led to Beijing amassing huge foreign reserves.
Others, however, say America's economic policies, specifically creating new money to pursue quantitative easing (QE), could also be a form of currency manipulation for its own ends.
Speaking to the BBC, the president of the World Bank, Robert Zoellick, said there were "definitely tensions" over currency.

What is the G20?

The G20 group comprises the world's 19 leading national economies, plus the European Union.
It was formed in 1999, and held its first meeting that year.
Until 2008 the G20 was overshadowed by the smaller G8 grouping of France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, the US, Canada and Russia.
However, this has changed since the global financial crisis of 2008, and the G20 has effectively now replaced the G8 as the main global economic forum.
The major growth in the economies of G20 members China, India and Brazil has also contributed to the rising importance of the grouping.
The G20 currently meets twice a year, but this is set to reduce to one meeting from 2011.
"One has to be wary of the tensions because you don't want them to slip into protectionism," he said.
But he said that while the US raising the issue over China was "useful", he added China's next five-year plan for its economic development would focus on increasing domestic demand, adding this would be important in shifting China's growth.
Critics
At a G20 press conference, Brazil's Finance Minister Guido Mantega criticised the US central bank's latest QE programme.
"The trouble with putting an extra $600bn into the US economy is that this money will not go into production, will not create jobs and neither will it boost domestic consumption.
"With more money in the market, investors will take advantage of higher interest rates in other places, put the money into these countries' stock exchanges or invest in commodities, raising the prices and causing inflation in our countries," Mr Mantega said.
Accused of forcing the dollar down to trade its way back to prosperity, Mr Obama is expected to hold one-on-one talks with two of the strongest critics of his administration's economic direction - Chinese President Hu Jintao and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
President Obama has said that the US alone could not restore growth but accepted the US must change, adding: "When all nations do their part... we all benefit from higher growth."

Start Quote

Everyone agrees on the "shared interest" in finding a solution to global imbalances. The disagreement is over how - and how quickly”
However, he defended America's "decisive action to halt the fall in activity caused by the deepest crisis we have experienced in generations".
And he again called on countries not to rely on exports to pull them out of their economic problems.
"We all now recognize that the foundation for a strong and durable recovery will not materialize if American households stop saving and go back to spending based on borrowing.
"Yet, no one country can achieve our joint objective of a strong, sustainable, and balanced recovery on its own.
"Just as the United States must change, so too must those economies that have previously relied on exports to offset weaknesses in their down demand," Mr Obama said.
Currency concerns
Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron also warned that China should act to correct its trade imbalance.

.
It is feared that other countries will rush to allow currency devaluation to also make their exports more competitive.
But China considers the exchange rate of its currency to be an internal matter and has only agreed to only gradually let the yuan appreciate.
The governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, has urged the G20 to agree to let current account imbalances unwind, rather than impose targets and policy instruments that could be damaging to all.
                                                                                                                    BBC
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